There is no published expectation for this decision.
Actual figures and what was expected
Tuesday 5 May 2026
4.35%
Tuesday 16 June 2026
4.35%
Tuesday 11 August 2026
4.35%
Tuesday 29 September 2026
4.6%
Surprise, actual minus expected
Tuesday 5 May 2026
not available
Tuesday 16 June 2026
not available
Tuesday 11 August 2026
not available
Tuesday 29 September 2026
not available
Market reaction, ECB reference rates from the working day before to the working day after (2026-09-28 to 2026-09-30), the Australian dollar against the euro